How to Read a Signal Explanation

Every signal the platform publishes can carry a full explanation. The format is deliberately uniform so that two signals can be compared without re-learning the presentation each time.

The sections

Summary — one sentence stating the direction and the core reason. If the summary does not make sense on its own, treat that as a warning.

Technical factors — structural observations the platform weighed: pivots, timeframe alignment, level interaction.

Fundamental factors — macro or policy inputs: rate expectations, policy communication, data surprises.

Historical factors — how comparable situations resolved in the platform's dataset, including sample size where published.

Risks — what could invalidate the reasoning other than price: scheduled events, liquidity conditions, headline exposure.

Invalidation — the price condition under which the thesis is wrong. This is the most operationally useful line in the document.

Supporting evidence — the market frame, volatility percentile, and related readings the platform attached.

A reading order that works

1. Invalidation first. Decide whether the risk implied by that distance is acceptable before the narrative persuades you.
2. Risks second. Check whether a scheduled event sits inside the signal window.
3. Then the factors. Ask whether technical and fundamental factors agree. When they conflict, position size is the appropriate response.
4. Summary last as a comprehension check.

Reading in this order resists the narrative pull of a well-written summary.

What an explanation is not

It is not a forecast, a guarantee, or an instruction. It is a record of the reasoning behind a published signal, which is what makes the platform's track record auditable: the reasoning was stated before the outcome was known.

Key takeaways

• The format is fixed so signals are comparable.
• Read invalidation and risks before the narrative.
• Conflicting factors are a sizing decision, not a reason to ignore the signal.